Comments on: The science of prediction http://www.davosnewbies.com/2008/02/06/the-science-of-prediction/ A year-round Davos of the mind, written since 1999 by Lance Knobel Sat, 28 Jan 2012 12:38:33 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.1 By: Nick de Souza http://www.davosnewbies.com/2008/02/06/the-science-of-prediction/comment-page-1/#comment-228561 Nick de Souza Mon, 11 Feb 2008 09:53:29 +0000 http://www.davosnewbies.com/2008/02/06/the-science-of-prediction/#comment-228561 Indeed - the Manchester United player Ryan Giggs looks white and speaks with a Mancunian accent. Yet when asked why he doesn't play for England, he says that he is Welsh. He also says he is black. Indeed – the Manchester United player Ryan Giggs looks white and speaks with a Mancunian accent. Yet when asked why he doesn’t play for England, he says that he is Welsh. He also says he is black.

]]> By: David Derrick http://www.davosnewbies.com/2008/02/06/the-science-of-prediction/comment-page-1/#comment-227336 David Derrick Thu, 07 Feb 2008 01:15:21 +0000 http://www.davosnewbies.com/2008/02/06/the-science-of-prediction/#comment-227336 This may be a hackneyed point, but why is Obama called black anyway? He might as well be called white, since his mother was white. It's a slightly sad comment on America that those words are used: they wouldn't be in Jamaica or Africa or Brazil and they'd be used less in the UK than they are right now in the US. As far as I know Ghanaians didn't constantly refer to Jerry Rawlings as white. This may be a hackneyed point, but why is Obama called black anyway? He might as well be called white, since his mother was white. It’s a slightly sad comment on America that those words are used: they wouldn’t be in Jamaica or Africa or Brazil and they’d be used less in the UK than they are right now in the US. As far as I know Ghanaians didn’t constantly refer to Jerry Rawlings as white.

]]> By: Lance Knobel http://www.davosnewbies.com/2008/02/06/the-science-of-prediction/comment-page-1/#comment-227240 Lance Knobel Wed, 06 Feb 2008 18:33:41 +0000 http://www.davosnewbies.com/2008/02/06/the-science-of-prediction/#comment-227240 I agree absolutely, Just An Observer. We'll have to wait and see. You're not alone in your speculation. I live in what is certifiably the most liberal place in the country (Berkeley) and I hear people of impeccable left-wing credentials worrying about the same thing. I agree absolutely, Just An Observer. We’ll have to wait and see.

You’re not alone in your speculation. I live in what is certifiably the most liberal place in the country (Berkeley) and I hear people of impeccable left-wing credentials worrying about the same thing.

]]> By: Just an observer http://www.davosnewbies.com/2008/02/06/the-science-of-prediction/comment-page-1/#comment-227236 Just an observer Wed, 06 Feb 2008 18:25:11 +0000 http://www.davosnewbies.com/2008/02/06/the-science-of-prediction/#comment-227236 We'll have to wait and see... That's usually the only way to test predictions! Please keep in mind, that I am a non-American observer, and that I sincerely hope that the US is ready for a non-white President. I just have my doubts. Keep in mind that a similar argument can be made about a woman president. It is rather remarkable that this early on we know that the Democratic nominee is going to be either an African American or a woman. Clearly <i>something</i> changed. Whether it is enough to win the general election only time will tell. We’ll have to wait and see… That’s usually the only way to test predictions!

Please keep in mind, that I am a non-American observer, and that I sincerely hope that the US is ready for a non-white President. I just have my doubts.
Keep in mind that a similar argument can be made about a woman president. It is rather remarkable that this early on we know that the Democratic nominee is going to be either an African American or a woman. Clearly something changed. Whether it is enough to win the general election only time will tell.

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